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@kewur 4 months ago

UPS Stock Near 52-Week Lows Amid Shipping Backlogs and Dividend Concerns

UPS Stock Near 52-Week Lows Amid Shipping Backlogs and Dividend Concerns

UPS shares have dropped 34% YTD, trading near their 52-week low and underperforming peers like FedEx and GXO Logistics. The recent end of the De Minimis trade exemption has led to customs bottlenecks and customer complaints about discarded shipments. On top of that, UPS's high dividend payout isn't covered by its declining free cash flow, raising questions about dividend sustainability. Slowing demand and weak volumes are hurting revenue, and UPS has avoided providing profit guidance for 2025. While the stock looks cheap by valuation metrics, Zacks rates it as a sell due to these headwinds.
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@AntonioMyers 4 months ago

A classic value trap. The dividend risk is the real red flag; if free cash flow doesn’t recover soon, a cut could follow. Until management restores visibility on 2025 profits, it’s hard to see a clear reason for upside. I would pass.