LINELineage Inc.

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Company Info

CEO

Greg Lehmkuhl

Location

Michigan, USA

Exchange

Nasdaq

Website

https://www.onelineage.com

Summary

Our purpose is to transform the global food supply chain to eliminate waste and help feed the world.

Company Info

CEO

Greg Lehmkuhl

Location

Michigan, USA

Exchange

Nasdaq

Website

https://www.onelineage.com

Summary

Our purpose is to transform the global food supply chain to eliminate waste and help feed the world.

AI Insights for LINE
3 min read

Quick Summary

Lineage Inc. is a leading specialty real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on transforming the global food supply chain, aiming to eliminate waste and improve food accessibility. Its core business revolves around refrigerated warehousing and integrated logistics solutions for the food and beverage industry. The company operates in 19 countries and holds a commanding 33% global market share in temperature-controlled logistics, serving food manufacturers, distributors, and retailers who depend on reliable cold storage, transportation, and supply chain management. With a principal executive office in Novi, Michigan, Lineage positions itself at the intersection of logistics, technology, and infrastructure to support the evolving needs of the food ecosystem. The firm’s clients include large food producers, grocery giants, and food service companies seeking efficiency, regulatory compliance, and global reach.

The Bull Case

  • Lineage’s strengths stem from its dominant global market share in temperature-controlled logistics and a strong reputation among major food and beverage companies.
  • Its commitment to technology—evidenced by a robust patent portfolio and the development of systems like LinOS—has allowed it to lead in automation and operational efficiency.
  • The company’s international scale, diversified portfolio, and strong customer relationships provide resilience, while its successful IPO has enhanced its leverage profile and liquidity position.
  • Lineage's capacity to innovate and drive cost control, even in tough market environments, demonstrates financial discipline and adaptability.
  • Additionally, the focus on sustainability and energy efficiency positions the company favorably with environmentally conscious customers and regulators.

The Bear Case

  • A significant weakness is the company’s recent financial underperformance, with a year-to-date share price decline of over 22% and a negative EPS (-$0.44), reflecting both external and internal challenges.
  • Lineage’s results have been impacted by macroeconomic pressures such as inflation, high interest rates, and weak consumer spending, leading to lower warehouse occupancy and declining transportation demand.
  • The company’s capital-intensive model and exposure to utility and labor costs create fixed obligations that can be difficult to flex in downturns.
  • A recent facility fire in Los Angeles revealed operational risks in maintaining a large infrastructure.
  • Additionally, new supply in select markets and heightened competition could squeeze margins further.

Key Risks

  • Key risks facing Lineage include macroeconomic downturns that dampen demand across its core food and beverage customer base, especially as prolonged weak consumer spending and high inflation constrain volumes.
  • Continued interest rate volatility could increase borrowing costs and depress REIT valuations.
  • Rising competitive pressures, particularly from new warehouse capacity coming online, may erode pricing power and profitability.
  • Internally, execution risks remain with integrating acquisitions and scaling technology deployments, while operational disruptions (such as the Los Angeles facility fire) underscore vulnerabilities inherent in a large asset base.

What to Watch

UpcomingIn the most recent quarter, Lineage reported revenue growth of 0.5% year-over-year, reaching $1.3 billion, and a 5.4% increase in adjusted EBITDA.
UpcomingNotably, adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) surged by 52% to $208 million, highlighted by robust cost control measures and selective price increases.
UpcomingThe company completed the acquisition of ColdPoint Logistics for $223 million, expanding its geographic footprint, and marked major milestones in technology innovation with the rollout of its LinOS warehouse execution system and achievement of its 100th patent.
ExpectedFor the upcoming quarter, Lineage projects AFFO per share to be in the range of $3.16 to $3.20 for the fiscal year, indicating stable yet cautious optimism despite persistent market headwinds.

Price Drivers

  • Lineage’s stock price is influenced by a mixture of macroeconomic and company-specific factors.
  • Key drivers include trends in consumer spending, food and beverage inventory cycles, inflation, and changes in interest rates set by the Federal Reserve.
  • Market-wide dynamics such as economic slowdowns or recoveries can dramatically affect customer demand and occupancy rates.
  • Company performance metrics—including revenue growth, margin expansion, cost control, and successful integration of acquisitions—are critical and closely watched by investors.

Recent News

  • Recent news highlights that Lineage was listed among the '10 Best All-Time Low Stocks To Buy Right Now,' reflecting its steep share decline amid a challenging macroeconomic backdrop.
  • While facing tough headwinds, the company’s cost controls and market leadership were noted as potential catalysts for future recovery.
  • After its successful IPO—the largest of the year—Lineage reported strong EBITDA and AFFO growth and completed the acquisition of ColdPoint Logistics for $223 million.
  • The company also continued innovating in automation and technology, surpassing its 100th patent milestone.

Market Trends

  • Broad market trends affecting Lineage include a rotation away from cyclical and growth sectors due to persistent inflation and rising interest rates, which have suppressed consumer discretionary spending and real estate investment returns.
  • There is a growing investor focus on technology and AI-related stocks, with sentiment shifting away from traditional REITs or transportation-linked equities.
  • Within the logistics sector, increased competition and new supply are putting pressure on occupancy and pricing, while ongoing inventory rationalization among food companies is weighing on demand.
  • However, the global push toward automation, supply chain resiliency, and sustainable operations presents new opportunities for leaders like Lineage to capitalize as conditions normalize.

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Topics: Company overview • Products • Competitors • Strengths & Risks

Symbol's posts

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@DamnRay 4 months ago

Lineage, Inc. declares $0.5275 Q3 dividend

Lineage, Inc. declares $0.5275 Q3 dividend

just announced a $0.5275 per share dividend for Q3 2025, payable October 21, 2025, to shareholders of record September 30, 2025. What do you think about the company?

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