BJBJ`s Wholesale Club Holdings Inc

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Company Info

CEO

Robert W. Eddy

Location

Massachusetts, USA

Exchange

NYSE

Website

https://bjs.com

Summary

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.

Company Info

CEO

Robert W. Eddy

Location

Massachusetts, USA

Exchange

NYSE

Website

https://bjs.com

Summary

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.

AI Insights for BJ
2 min read

Quick Summary

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc is a membership-based warehouse retailer operating primarily on the east coast of the United States. The company offers a wide assortment of groceries, perishable goods, general merchandise, gasoline, and ancillary services. Its primary customers are value-conscious consumers, including families and small businesses, who seek savings through bulk purchases and membership benefits. BJ’s business model is centered on providing its members with higher-than-average savings compared to traditional supermarkets, often claiming up to 25% discounts. With a footprint in 17 states and growing, BJ's is positioning itself as a strong regional competitor to larger national chains, emphasizing a combination of in-store and digital shopping experiences.

The Bull Case

  • BJ’s key strengths include its strong value proposition, offering members significant savings compared to traditional grocers, and its growing high-margin membership income.
  • The company’s focused assortment of merchandise and increased emphasis on own-brands allow for better margin control and differentiation from competitors.
  • BJ’s has demonstrated continued growth in both club and digital sales, successfully leveraging omnichannel capabilities to meet changing consumer preferences.
  • The retailer’s relatively low exposure to import tariffs provides additional resilience against recent trade-related market disruptions.
  • Its expanding network of physical locations, combined with digital enhancements, positions BJ’s well for further regional expansion and customer acquisition.

The Bear Case

  • BJ’s faces vulnerabilities from fluctuating consumer spending, especially as economic uncertainty or cautious consumer behavior persists.
  • Comparable sales growth remains modest, and sales misses—even if earnings exceed expectations—can lead to share price declines.
  • The company is still underpenetrated compared to national competitors like Costco and Walmart, limiting economies of scale and bargaining power.
  • BJ’s dependence on membership growth for profitability makes it vulnerable to changes in consumer loyalty or competition offering similar value propositions.
  • Additionally, BJ’s lacks a dividend, which may make the stock less attractive to income-focused investors.

Key Risks

  • The primary risks to BJ's business include intensified competition from direct rivals like Costco, Walmart, and Amazon, all of which have greater resources and broader reach.
  • Amazon’s rapid expansion of same-day grocery delivery in thousands of cities threatens BJ’s digital and retail sales growth.
  • Economic downturns could reduce discretionary consumer spending or drive member cancellations, directly impacting revenues.
  • Increased promotional activity and price competition in grocery and general merchandise segments could erode margins.

What to Watch

UpcomingIn the most recently reported quarter, BJ's Wholesale Club beat adjusted EPS estimates, reporting earnings of $1.14 per share and raising its full-year fiscal 2025 EPS guidance.
UpcomingThe company’s membership base surpassed 8 million, driven largely by a 9% increase in membership income to $123 million.
UpcomingComparable sales excluding gasoline rose 2.3%, while total revenues climbed 3.4% to $5.4 billion.
ExpectedLooking ahead to the next quarter, BJ's is expected to continue opening new club locations, particularly in underserved markets along the eastern United States.

Price Drivers

  • The primary factors influencing BJ’s stock price include earnings results (especially EPS and revenue growth), membership income increases, and growth in digital and omnichannel sales.
  • Macro factors such as consumer spending trends, especially during times of economic uncertainty or recession risk, directly affect BJ’s performance.
  • Competitive pressures, particularly from Amazon's expanding same-day grocery delivery service and aggressive pricing from major retailers like Costco and Walmart, can also impact investor sentiment and valuation.
  • Market reactions to membership growth and new club openings often trigger share price movement.

Recent News

  • Recent news highlights a strong earnings quarter for BJ’s, with the company raising its full-year EPS guidance and reporting strong membership and digital sales growth.
  • Positive analyst upgrades—including a 'Buy' from Citi—and increased hedge fund interest underscore institutional confidence, citing BJ’s resilience to import tariffs and strong position in consumer defensive sectors.
  • However, the company has faced share price volatility following both broader market events, such as Amazon’s grocery delivery expansion, and occasional sales shortfalls.
  • BJ’s continues to open new club locations, with announcements about upcoming expansions in key states like New Jersey and Georgia.

Market Trends

  • Broader market trends affecting BJ’s include increased consumer demand for value and savings, driven by inflation and recession worries.
  • The shift toward omnichannel shopping—blending in-person, online, and delivery options—is rapidly reshaping the retail landscape, with major players investing heavily in digital infrastructure.
  • Defensive consumer stocks, such as warehouse and discount retailers, are seeing heightened interest as investors seek safe havens from market volatility and global trade disruptions.
  • At the same time, competition from e-commerce giants and ongoing technology innovation, including AI-driven supply chain and checkout processes, are raising the stakes for traditional retailers.

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Topics: Company overview • Products • Competitors • Strengths & Risks

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@Joseph_Hadaway 2 years ago

Rough End To Retail Week

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Anyone tune to 's earnings this morning? Another rough outlook and the stock is sliding, down 5% already despite an earnings beat 

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