ADSKAutodesk Inc.

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Company Info

CEO

Andrew Anagnost

Location

California, USA

Exchange

Nasdaq

Website

https://autodesk.com

Summary

Autodesk, Inc.

Company Info

CEO

Andrew Anagnost

Location

California, USA

Exchange

Nasdaq

Website

https://autodesk.com

Summary

Autodesk, Inc.

AI Insights for ADSK
2 min read

Quick Summary

Autodesk Inc. is a leading provider of 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software and services, serving customers worldwide. The company focuses on industries such as architecture, engineering, construction (AEC), manufacturing, media, and entertainment. Autodesk's core clientele consists of design professionals and companies involved in civil engineering, land development, transportation, environmental projects, and digital media creation. Its business model is primarily recurring subscription-based, delivering software solutions directly as well as through a network of resellers and distributors. Autodesk is recognized for its technological innovation and broad impact on the infrastructure, design, and creative sectors.

The Bull Case

  • Autodesk’s primary strengths lie in its industry-leading brand recognition, extensive and diversified software portfolio, and strong foothold across essential verticals like AEC and manufacturing.
  • Its transition to a subscription and cloud-based revenue model has ensured more predictable and recurring revenue streams.
  • Robust investments in AI, data-driven design, and cloud technologies keep its solutions competitive and appealing to enterprise clients.
  • High customer retention rates and dominant market share in core software segments further reinforce its resilience.
  • The company’s innovation and ability to adapt its offerings to evolving customer needs, such as the integration of AI tools, place it at the forefront of digital transformation in design industries.

The Bear Case

  • Despite strong fundamentals, Autodesk faces several vulnerabilities.
  • Its high valuation metrics suggest the stock may be overpriced relative to earnings and book value, potentially limiting future upside.
  • Recent delays in disclosing internal accounting investigations have drawn criticism, raising concerns about transparency and governance.
  • Exposure to cyclical sectors like construction and manufacturing can make revenues sensitive to broader economic downturns.
  • The company’s heavy reliance on subscription renewals heightens risks if customers reduce spending or switch to competing products.

Key Risks

  • Key risks for Autodesk include heightened competition from established and emerging software providers, which could erode market share or pressure pricing.
  • Economic instability or recession in key markets could reduce enterprise spending on software tools.
  • Unresolved internal accounting or governance issues pose reputational and regulatory threats.
  • The company is also vulnerable to fluctuations in technology adoption rates or shifts in industry standards, which may render some products obsolete.

What to Watch

UpcomingDuring the most recent quarter, Autodesk reported strong year-over-year growth across key financial metrics, significantly beating both revenue and earnings expectations.
UpcomingThe company noted robust demand for its design software solutions, particularly in the architecture, engineering, and construction segments.
UpcomingThere was a notable increase in recurring revenue, now constituting the majority of total sales, further strengthening the firm’s transition to a subscription model.
ExpectedFor the upcoming quarter, analysts anticipate continued double-digit growth in both revenue and earnings, supported by ongoing adoption of cloud and AI-driven solutions.

Price Drivers

  • Autodesk's stock price is primarily driven by its quarterly earnings reports, specifically revenue and earnings per share growth, as well as guidance updates from management.
  • The company's continued shift toward subscription-based recurring revenue and strong growth in core segments like AEC and Manufacturing serve as key catalysts.
  • Investor sentiment is influenced by demand for software incorporating AI and cloud services, rising margins, and activist investor activity.
  • Broader macroeconomic trends impacting technology spending, and M&A activity in the sector, also influence share price.

Recent News

  • Recently, Autodesk has made headlines for consistently surpassing quarterly revenue and earnings forecasts, prompting several analysts to upgrade their outlooks and raise target prices.
  • The company has also been in the spotlight due to activist investor Starboard Value acquiring a $500 million stake and advocating for operational changes and board restructuring, following criticism over the timing of disclosures related to an internal accounting probe.
  • AI-driven capabilities in its design software and a shift to cloud-based solutions have been highlighted as key demand drivers by management and media.
  • Despite these positive developments, its shares have experienced volatility, partially reflecting investor concerns over governance.

Market Trends

  • Broader market trends impacting Autodesk include the accelerating adoption of AI and cloud technology within the engineering, construction, and manufacturing sectors.
  • There is a clear industry shift toward subscription-based models, driving recurring revenue across enterprise software.
  • The ongoing digital transformation of infrastructure design, supported by government and private investment in modernization, continues to expand market opportunities.
  • Increasing demand for integrated platforms that enhance collaboration and workflow efficiency shapes competitive dynamics.

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Topics: Company overview • Products • Competitors • Strengths & Risks

Symbol's posts

avatar
@JaneWilliams 3 weeks ago

Software Apps Are Getting Cooked Anyone Else Noticing This?

Software Apps Are Getting Cooked Anyone Else Noticing This?

Software-app stocks have been getting wrecked for months. especially  feels like it’s red every single day. Hard not to wonder what actually changed. Is AI (OpenAI, etc.) just blowing up the whole space, or is this one of those ugly resets before the sector has to consolidate to survive?

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